Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stefan Struve won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsLavar Johnson: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Lavar Johnson wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lavar Johnson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
- Stefan Struve threatens submissions; Lavar Johnson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Stefan Struve
Red Corner
VS
Lavar Johnson
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
38
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'11"
Height
6'4"
213.36 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan StruveL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Lavar Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joey Beltran · Jan 12W
KOvs Pat Barry · May 12L
vs Brendan Schaub · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricLavar Johnson
3.12
Strikes / min
5.39
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
46%
Strike defense
55%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.61
55%
Takedown defense
54%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 3.77 — meaningful gap+2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stefan StruveLavar Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Lavar Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+80.0-80.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20
Lavar Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights4