Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stefan Struve won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 23, 2019·Prague, Czech Republic, Czech Republic
Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsMarcos Rogerio de Lima: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stefan Struve enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
- Stefan Struve threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Stefan Struve has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stefan Struve
Red Corner
VS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'11"
Height
6'1"
213.36 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan StruveL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
3.12
Strikes / min
3.70
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
46%
Strike defense
51%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.40
55%
Takedown defense
59%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stefan StruveMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.419.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+104.0-104.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17