Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsTai Tuivasa: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Stefan Struve wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Tai Tuivasa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
- Stefan Struve threatens submissions; Tai Tuivasa has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Stefan Struve has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stefan Struve
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
-112
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-112
(53%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'11"
Height
6'2"
213.36 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stefan Struve
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19L
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stefan StruveMetricTai Tuivasa
3.12
Strikes / min
3.37
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
46%
Strike defense
42%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
58%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stefan StruveTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stefan Struve(10 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.2-8.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Stefan Struve
StanceOrthodox
Height83.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights20
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17