Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stephan Bonnar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Igor Pokrajac wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Stephan Bonnar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stephan Bonnar has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stephan Bonnar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stephan Bonnar
Red Corner
VS
Igor Pokrajac
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
49
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephan Bonnar
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jul 10W
vs Kyle Kingsbury · Nov 11L
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 12Igor PokrajacL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13L
vs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephan BonnarMetricIgor Pokrajac
2.76
Strikes / min
2.25
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
4.26
52%
Strike defense
40%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
0.87
60%
Takedown defense
51%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.25Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephan BonnarIgor Pokrajac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephan Bonnar(4 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+29.0-29.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Stephan Bonnar
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Igor Pokrajac
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10