Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stephan Bonnar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2011·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupStephan Bonnar: Submission grapplervsKyle Kingsbury: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Stephan Bonnar wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Stephan Bonnar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Stephan Bonnar
Red Corner
VS
Kyle Kingsbury
Blue Corner
+138
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-148
(60%)
49
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephan Bonnar
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jul 10W
vs Igor Pokrajac · Dec 10L
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 12Kyle KingsburyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricardo Romero · Feb 11W
vs Fabio Maldonado · Jun 11L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 12L
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 12L
vs Patrick Cummins · Jul 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephan BonnarMetricKyle Kingsbury
2.76
Strikes / min
2.97
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.81
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.32
TDs / 15 min
2.64
60%
Takedown defense
52%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephan BonnarKyle Kingsbury
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephan Bonnar(4 fights)Kyle Kingsbury(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.915.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Stephan Bonnar
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Kyle Kingsbury
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7