Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Stephanie Luciano won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Stephanie Luciano wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Stephanie Luciano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephanie Luciano threatens submissions; Ravena Oliveira has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stephanie Luciano has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stephanie Luciano has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Stephanie Luciano
Red Corner
VS
Ravena Oliveira
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
26
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephanie Luciano
oldest →latest
W
vs Talita Alencar · Aug 24L
vs Sam Hughes · Mar 25Ravena OliveiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tainara Lisboa · Oct 23L
KOvs Shanelle Dyer · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephanie LucianoMetricRavena Oliveira
5.20
Strikes / min
1.91
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
64%
Strike defense
46%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.88
80%
Takedown defense
46%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.16Δ 3.97 — meaningful gap-1.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephanie LucianoRavena Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephanie Luciano(3 fights)Ravena Oliveira(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.1-15.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-518.0518.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Stephanie Luciano
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3
Ravena Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3