Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Sam Hughes won · S-DEC R3
SL
SH
Stephanie LucianovsSam Hughes
UFC Event · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupStephanie Luciano: Well-roundedvsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Stephanie Luciano wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Sam Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephanie Luciano has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Stephanie Luciano
Red Corner
VS
Sam Hughes
Blue Corner
-168
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
26
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephanie LucianoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Talita Alencar · Aug 24W
SUBvs Ravena Oliveira · Oct 25Sam Hughes
oldest →latest
W
vs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 23L
vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24W
vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Aug 24W
SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Sep 25L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephanie LucianoMetricSam Hughes
5.20
Strikes / min
4.41
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.69
64%
Strike defense
58%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
1.12
80%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.16Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephanie LucianoSam Hughes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephanie Luciano(3 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.4-20.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Stephanie Luciano
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3
Sam Hughes
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12