Welterweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Pettis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2019·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupStephen Thompson: StrikervsAnthony Pettis: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Stephen Thompson wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Stephen Thompson
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Pettis
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+345
(22%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Anthony PettisW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 18L
vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20W
vs Donald Cerrone · May 20W
vs Alex Morono · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephen ThompsonMetricAnthony Pettis
4.05
Strikes / min
3.05
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.61
63%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.05Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephen ThompsonAnthony Pettis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephen Thompson(10 fights)Anthony Pettis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.9-50.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+132.0-132.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21
Anthony Pettis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20