Welterweight
3 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2017·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupStephen Thompson: StrikervsJorge Masvidal: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Jorge Masvidal wins(55.0%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Stephen Thompson
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephen ThompsonMetricJorge Masvidal
4.05
Strikes / min
4.05
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
1.38
63%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.05evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephen ThompsonJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephen Thompson(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.0-27.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22