Welterweight
5 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2022·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupStephen Thompson: StrikervsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Stephen Thompson wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stephen Thompson
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephen ThompsonL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gilbert Burns · Jul 21L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephen ThompsonMetricKevin Holland
4.05
Strikes / min
4.24
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
54%
Strike defense
50%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.79
63%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.05evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephen ThompsonKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephen Thompson(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.41.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+266.0-266.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27