Welterweight
3 Rounds
Stephen Thompson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupStephen Thompson: StrikervsVicente Luque: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Stephen Thompson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Stephen Thompson
Red Corner
VS
Vicente Luque
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephen ThompsonMetricVicente Luque
4.05
Strikes / min
4.80
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.24
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.89
63%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.05Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stephen ThompsonVicente Luque
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephen Thompson(10 fights)Vicente Luque(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.337.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23