Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Steve Erceg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 9, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSteve Erceg: Pressure fightervsOde Osbourne: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Steve Erceg wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Steve Erceg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steve Erceg enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ode Osbourne (53.5%).
- Ode Osbourne has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Steve Erceg
Red Corner
VS
Ode Osbourne
Blue Corner
-590
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
30
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steve ErcegL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessandro Costa · Nov 23W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Mar 24L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · May 24L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Aug 24L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25Ode Osbourne
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Aug 23L
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 24L
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Sep 24W
KOvs Luis Gurule · Apr 25L
vs Alibi Idiris · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steve ErcegMetricOde Osbourne
4.64
Strikes / min
2.94
4.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
55%
Strike defense
49%
1.13
TDs / 15 min
0.94
67%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.57evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Steve ErcegOde Osbourne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steve Erceg(7 fights)Ode Osbourne(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.3-20.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Steve Erceg
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7
Ode Osbourne
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11