Featherweight
5 Rounds
Steve Garcia won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupSteve Garcia: Elusive strikervsDavid Onama: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Steve Garcia wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Steve Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steve Garcia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- David Onama enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Steve Garcia has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steve Garcia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Steve Garcia
Red Corner
VS
David Onama
Blue Corner
-138
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+118
(46%)
34
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steve GarciaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Apr 23W
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 23W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Jul 25David OnamaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nate Landwehr · Aug 22W
KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23W
vs Jonathan Pearce · Apr 24W
vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24W
vs Giga Chikadze · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steve GarciaMetricDavid Onama
5.39
Strikes / min
5.07
2.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.89
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
1.05
88%
Takedown defense
52%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.27Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Steve GarciaDavid Onama
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steve Garcia(10 fights)David Onama(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.7-10.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Steve Garcia
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
David Onama
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9