Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Onama enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Steve Garcia has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Steve Garcia (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steve Garcia
oldest →W
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 23W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Jul 25L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Jun 26 David OnamaW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Nate Landwehr · Aug 22W
KOvs Gabriel Santos · Jun 23W
vs Jonathan Pearce · Apr 24W
vs Roberto Romero · Nov 24W
vs Giga Chikadze · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steve GarciaMetricDavid Onama
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.27Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Steve GarciaDavid Onama
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steve Garcia(10 fights)David Onama(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.3|Blue -20.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Steve GarciaTargetDavid Onama
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steve Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
