Lightweight
3 Rounds
Waylon Lowe won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2010·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Steve Lopez wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Waylon Lowe wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waylon Lowe has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Waylon Lowe (53.5%).
- Steve Lopez has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Steve Lopez
Red Corner
VS
Waylon Lowe
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
41
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
165 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steve LopezNo prior UFC fights on record.
Waylon Lowe
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · May 10W
vs Willamy Freire · Jan 11L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Mar 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steve LopezMetricWaylon Lowe
1.39
Strikes / min
1.88
2.69
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
62%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
4.47
37%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30evenly matched on net striking-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Steve LopezWaylon Lowe
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steve Lopez(1 fights)Waylon Lowe(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Steve Lopez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach—
Fights1
Waylon Lowe
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights4