Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lucas Alexander won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 25, 2023·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupSteven Peterson: Pressure fightervsLucas Alexander: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Steven Peterson wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Lucas Alexander wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Alexander enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Steven Peterson
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Alexander
Blue Corner
-164
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+138
(42%)
35
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Steven Peterson
oldest →latest
L
vs Luis Pena · Mar 19L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22Lucas AlexanderL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Oct 22L
KOvs Jeka Saragih · Nov 23L
KOvs Bogdan Grad · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Steven PetersonMetricLucas Alexander
4.76
Strikes / min
4.69
5.94
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.18Δ 3.00 — meaningful gap+1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Steven PetersonLucas Alexander
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Steven Peterson(8 fights)Lucas Alexander(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Steven Peterson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8
Lucas Alexander
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4