Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 27, 2018·Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Stevie Ray wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Jessin Ayari
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
36
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Apr 17L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Jessin AyariL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jimmy Wallhead · Sep 16L
vs Darren Till · May 17L
KOvs Luigi Vendramini · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricJessin Ayari
3.73
Strikes / min
3.53
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.59
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayJessin Ayari
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Jessin Ayari(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.5-27.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-293.0293.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Jessin Ayari
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4