Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kajan Johnson won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 17, 2018·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Stevie Ray wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Kajan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kajan Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
- Kajan Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Kajan Johnson
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
36
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Apr 17L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Kajan JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Zhang Lipeng · May 15W
vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15W
KOvs Adriano Martins · Sep 17L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricKajan Johnson
3.73
Strikes / min
2.47
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
1.59
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.54
55%
Takedown defense
62%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayKajan Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Kajan Johnson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.0-9.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+55.0-55.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Kajan Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7