Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 18, 2015·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupStevie Ray: Well-roundedvsLeonardo Mafra: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Leonardo Mafra wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stevie Ray has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Leonardo Mafra
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
36
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Leonardo Mafra
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thiago Perpetuo · Jun 12L
SUBvs Rick Story · Jul 14W
vs Cain Carrizosa · Mar 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricLeonardo Mafra
3.73
Strikes / min
4.55
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
4.38
54%
Strike defense
43%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
2.12
55%
Takedown defense
69%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayLeonardo Mafra
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Leonardo Mafra(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.8-32.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Leonardo Mafra
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4