Lightweight
3 Rounds
Leonardo Santos won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2019·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupStevie Ray: Well-roundedvsLeonardo Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Leonardo Santos wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Leonardo Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Santos has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
- Leonardo Santos has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Leonardo Santos
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
36
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie RayW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Apr 17L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Leonardo SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Adriano Martins · Oct 16W
vs Roman Bogatov · Jul 20L
KOvs Grant Dawson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 21L
vs Jared Gordon · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricLeonardo Santos
3.73
Strikes / min
2.82
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.40
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.88
55%
Takedown defense
86%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayLeonardo Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Leonardo Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.342.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-749.0749.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Leonardo Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10