Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 24, 2015·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland, Ireland
Model Prediction: Stevie Ray wins(69.8%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Mickael Lebout
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
36
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Mickael Lebout
oldest →latest
L
vs Sergio Moraes · Apr 15W
vs Teemu Packalen · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricMickael Lebout
3.73
Strikes / min
2.60
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayMickael Lebout
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Mickael Lebout(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.3-32.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Mickael Lebout
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3