Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, July 16, 2017·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupStevie Ray: Well-roundedvsPaul Felder: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Stevie Ray
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
36
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Apr 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricPaul Felder
3.73
Strikes / min
3.70
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
54%
Strike defense
48%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.29
55%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stevie RayPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.0-25.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-62.062.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15