Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Stipe Miocic won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 2, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupStipe Miocic: Pressure fightervsAndrei Arlovski: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Stipe Miocic wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Stipe Miocic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Stipe Miocic
Red Corner
VS
Andrei Arlovski
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
43
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21L
KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24Andrei ArlovskiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24L
vs Martin Buday · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stipe MiocicMetricAndrei Arlovski
4.67
Strikes / min
3.82
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.37
65%
Takedown defense
76%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stipe MiocicAndrei Arlovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stipe Miocic(10 fights)Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.7-7.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Stipe Miocic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Andrei Arlovski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights27