Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Francis Ngannou won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Stipe Miocic wins(60.1%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Francis Ngannou is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Stipe Miocic has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Stipe Miocic
Red Corner
VS
Francis Ngannou
Blue Corner
+117
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-137
(58%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
210.82 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stipe Miocic
oldest →latest
W
vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 18L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Nov 18W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
vs Ciryl Gane · Jan 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stipe MiocicMetricFrancis Ngannou
4.67
Strikes / min
2.33
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
52%
Strike defense
41%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.76
65%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Stipe MiocicFrancis Ngannou
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stipe Miocic(10 fights)Francis Ngannou(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.4-36.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Stipe Miocic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14