Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Louis Smolka won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 24, 2018·Beijing, China, China
Model Prediction: Su Mudaerji wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Louis Smolka wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Su Mudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Su Mudaerji (53.5%).
- Su Mudaerji has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Su Mudaerji
Red Corner
VS
Louis Smolka
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
22
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Su MudaerjiW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andre Soukhamthath · Aug 19W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Nov 20W
vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jan 21Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Su MudaerjiMetricLouis Smolka
—
Strikes / min
4.67
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
—
Strike defense
53%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.69
—
Takedown defense
32%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Su MudaerjiLouis Smolka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Su Mudaerji(4 fights)Louis Smolka(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.5-5.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+46.5-46.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Su Mudaerji
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17