Welterweight
3 Rounds
Sultan Aliev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2019·Saint Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Russia
Model Prediction: Sultan Aliev wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Sultan Aliev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sultan Aliev has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Sultan Aliev
Red Corner
VS
Keita Nakamura
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sultan Aliev
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kenny Robertson · Jan 15W
vs Bojan Velickovic · Dec 16L
KOvs Warlley Alves · May 18Keita Nakamura
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Jul 16L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16W
vs Alex Morono · Sep 17L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sultan AlievMetricKeita Nakamura
1.41
Strikes / min
2.23
2.20
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.76
TDs / 15 min
1.65
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.79evenly matched on net striking-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Sultan AlievKeita Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sultan Aliev(4 fights)Keita Nakamura(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.234.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Sultan Aliev
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Keita Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8