Flyweight
3 Rounds
Sumudaerji won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupSumudaerji: Elusive strikervsMitch Raposo: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Sumudaerji wins(71.4%)
Actual result: Sumudaerji wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mitch Raposo (54.1%).
- Sumudaerji has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Sumudaerji
Red Corner
VS
Mitch Raposo
Blue Corner
-144
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+122
(45%)
30
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
SumudaerjiW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Dec 23L
vs Charles Johnson · Oct 24W
vs Kevin Borjas · Aug 25W
vs Jesus Aguilar · Mar 26Mitch Raposo
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Lima · Jun 24W
vs Azat Maksum · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
SumudaerjiMetricMitch Raposo
4.43
Strikes / min
1.73
2.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
62%
Strike defense
61%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
2.54
72%
Takedown defense
61%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.08Δ 3.00 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
SumudaerjiMitch Raposo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sumudaerji(6 fights)Mitch Raposo(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.929.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Sumudaerji
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Mitch Raposo
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3