Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tagir Ulanbekov won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 30, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupTagir Ulanbekov: WrestlervsAllan Nascimento: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Tagir Ulanbekov wins(73.6%)
Actual result: Tagir Ulanbekov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Allan Nascimento enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Allan Nascimento threatens submissions; Tagir Ulanbekov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tagir Ulanbekov has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tagir Ulanbekov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tagir Ulanbekov
Red Corner
VS
Allan Nascimento
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tagir Ulanbekov
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 22W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 23W
vs Clayton Carpenter · Jan 25W
vs Azat Maksum · Jun 25L
SUBvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 25Allan NascimentoW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Hadley · May 22W
SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · Jan 23W
vs Jafel Filho · May 25W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tagir UlanbekovMetricAllan Nascimento
3.01
Strikes / min
3.06
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
50%
Strike defense
52%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
1.26
63%
Takedown defense
37%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tagir UlanbekovAllan Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tagir Ulanbekov(8 fights)Allan Nascimento(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.6-14.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Tagir Ulanbekov
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8
Allan Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5