Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kyoji Horiguchi won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2025·Doha, Qatar, Qatar
Style matchupTagir Ulanbekov: WrestlervsKyoji Horiguchi: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Tagir Ulanbekov wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Kyoji Horiguchi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tagir Ulanbekov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Kyoji Horiguchi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Kyoji Horiguchi has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tagir Ulanbekov (53.5%).
- Tagir Ulanbekov has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tagir Ulanbekov
Red Corner
VS
Kyoji Horiguchi
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+194
(34%)
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
177.8 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tagir UlanbekovW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tim Elliott · Mar 22W
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 22W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 23W
vs Clayton Carpenter · Jan 25W
vs Azat Maksum · Jun 25Kyoji HoriguchiW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Apr 15W
vs Chico Camus · Sep 15W
vs Neil Seery · May 16W
vs Ali Bagautinov · Nov 16W
vs Amir Albazi · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tagir UlanbekovMetricKyoji Horiguchi
3.01
Strikes / min
3.77
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
50%
Strike defense
63%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
1.61
63%
Takedown defense
61%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.43Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap+1.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tagir UlanbekovKyoji Horiguchi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tagir Ulanbekov(8 fights)Kyoji Horiguchi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-3136.03136.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.12.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Tagir Ulanbekov
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8
Kyoji Horiguchi
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights10