Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tagir Ulanbekov won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTagir Ulanbekov: WrestlervsNate Maness: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tagir Ulanbekov wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Tagir Ulanbekov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Maness has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tagir Ulanbekov (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tagir Ulanbekov
Red Corner
VS
Nate Maness
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tagir Ulanbekov
oldest →latest
L
vs Tim Elliott · Mar 22W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 23W
vs Clayton Carpenter · Jan 25W
vs Azat Maksum · Jun 25L
SUBvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 25Nate ManessW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Nov 20W
KOvs Tony Gravely · Sep 21L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jun 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23W
vs Jimmy Flick · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tagir UlanbekovMetricNate Maness
3.01
Strikes / min
3.14
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
50%
Strike defense
42%
2.73
TDs / 15 min
0.68
63%
Takedown defense
80%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.43evenly matched on net striking-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tagir UlanbekovNate Maness
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tagir Ulanbekov(8 fights)Nate Maness(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.319.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Tagir Ulanbekov
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8
Nate Maness
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7