Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTai Tuivasa: StrikervsGreg Hardy: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Tai Tuivasa wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Tai Tuivasa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Greg Hardy has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Greg Hardy has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
- Greg Hardy has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tai Tuivasa
Red Corner
VS
Greg Hardy
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
33
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Greg HardyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricGreg Hardy
3.37
Strikes / min
4.79
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
42%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.20
58%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 2.72 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tai TuivasaGreg Hardy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.2-11.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9