Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupTai Tuivasa: StrikervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Tai Tuivasa wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tai Tuivasa
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
33
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Jun 22W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
3.37
Strikes / min
3.48
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
42%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tai TuivasaJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.227.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15