Welterweight
3 Rounds
Taiyilake Nueraji won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2025·Shanghai, Hebei, China, China
Style matchupTaiyilake Nueraji: Pressure fightervsKiefer Crosbie: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Taiyilake Nueraji wins(73.0%)
Actual result: Taiyilake Nueraji wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Taiyilake Nueraji has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Taiyilake Nueraji has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kiefer Crosbie (54.1%).
- Taiyilake Nueraji has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Taiyilake Nueraji
Red Corner
VS
Kiefer Crosbie
Blue Corner
-510
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
25
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Taiyilake NuerajiNo prior UFC fights on record.
Kiefer CrosbieL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 23L
SUBvs Sam Patterson · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Taiyilake NuerajiMetricKiefer Crosbie
9.82
Strikes / min
4.46
5.01
Strikes absorbed / min
5.80
58%
Strike defense
46%
1.47
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+4.81Δ 6.15 — meaningful gap-1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Taiyilake NuerajiKiefer Crosbie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Taiyilake Nueraji(1 fights)Kiefer Crosbie(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Taiyilake Nueraji
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1
Kiefer Crosbie
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3