Welterweight
3 Rounds
Takashi Sato won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 27, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Takashi Sato wins(58.8%)
Actual result: Takashi Sato wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Takashi Sato is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason Witt has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jason Witt threatens submissions; Takashi Sato has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Jason Witt has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Takashi Sato
Red Corner
VS
Jason Witt
Blue Corner
-278
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
35
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takashi SatoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 23Jason WittL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Oct 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Feb 22L
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takashi SatoMetricJason Witt
2.21
Strikes / min
2.15
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
44%
Strike defense
52%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
6.90
60%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.52Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takashi SatoJason Witt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takashi Sato(7 fights)Jason Witt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Takashi Sato
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Jason Witt
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6