Welterweight
3 Rounds
Themba Gorimbo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 20, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Themba Gorimbo wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Themba Gorimbo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
- Themba Gorimbo has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Takashi Sato
Red Corner
VS
Themba Gorimbo
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takashi SatoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19W
KOvs Jason Witt · Jun 20L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22Themba GorimboL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24W
vs Niko Price · Oct 24L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takashi SatoMetricThemba Gorimbo
2.21
Strikes / min
2.70
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
44%
Strike defense
51%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
4.52
60%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.52Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takashi SatoThemba Gorimbo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takashi Sato(7 fights)Themba Gorimbo(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+196.0-196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Takashi Sato
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Themba Gorimbo
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7