Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
- Themba Gorimbo has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takashi SatoL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19W
KOvs Jason Witt · Jun 20L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22 Themba GorimboL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25L
DECvs Jonathan Micallef · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takashi SatoMetricThemba Gorimbo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.52Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Takashi SatoThemba Gorimbo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takashi Sato(7 fights)Themba Gorimbo(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -29.9|Blue +29.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +196.0|Blue -196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Takashi SatoTargetThemba Gorimbo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Themba Gorimbo edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:32
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:58Control
Round 2Themba Gorimbo edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:14
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:20Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Themba Gorimbo edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:35
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:57Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
