Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aljamain Sterling won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 18, 2015·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupTakeya Mizugaki: Well-roundedvsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takeya Mizugaki has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Takeya Mizugaki
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
+285
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-345
(78%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Francisco Rivera · May 14L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takeya MizugakiMetricAljamain Sterling
3.37
Strikes / min
4.26
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
2.54
70%
Takedown defense
44%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takeya MizugakiAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.4-25.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-73.073.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22