Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Takeya Mizugaki won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 24, 2011·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Takeya Mizugaki wins(73.0%)
Actual result: Takeya Mizugaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takeya Mizugaki has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Takeya Mizugaki
Red Corner
VS
Cole Escovedo
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Cole EscovedoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Renan Barao · May 11L
vs Alex Caceres · Nov 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takeya MizugakiMetricCole Escovedo
3.37
Strikes / min
1.77
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
4.32
57%
Strike defense
49%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
0.43
70%
Takedown defense
13%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap-2.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takeya MizugakiCole Escovedo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)Cole Escovedo(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Cole Escovedo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3