Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Takeya Mizugaki won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 24, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTakeya Mizugaki: Well-roundedvsFrancisco Rivera: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Takeya Mizugaki wins(61.8%)
Actual result: Takeya Mizugaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Rivera is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Takeya Mizugaki has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Francisco Rivera has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Takeya Mizugaki
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Rivera
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Francisco RiveraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14W
KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16L
vs Erik Perez · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takeya MizugakiMetricFrancisco Rivera
3.37
Strikes / min
4.07
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
57%
Strike defense
68%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
1.01
70%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takeya MizugakiFrancisco Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)Francisco Rivera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.9-29.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-30.030.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Francisco Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10