Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Takeya Mizugaki won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 10, 2012·Macau, China, China
Style matchupTakeya Mizugaki: Well-roundedvsJeff Hougland: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Takeya Mizugaki wins(63.5%)
Actual result: Takeya Mizugaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takeya Mizugaki has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Takeya Mizugaki has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Takeya Mizugaki
Red Corner
VS
Jeff Hougland
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
42
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Jeff Hougland
oldest →latest
W
vs Donny Walker · Jul 11L
vs Yves Jabouin · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takeya MizugakiMetricJeff Hougland
3.37
Strikes / min
1.86
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
57%
Strike defense
47%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
0.86
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-1.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Takeya MizugakiJeff Hougland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)Jeff Hougland(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.80.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+80.0-80.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Jeff Hougland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3