Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Takeya Mizugaki won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Takeya Mizugaki wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Takeya Mizugaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takeya Mizugaki has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Takeya Mizugaki
Red Corner
VS
Reuben Duran
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Takeya MizugakiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 16L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Reuben DuranL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Francisco Rivera · Jun 11L
KOvs Hugo Viana · Dec 12L
vs George Roop · Mar 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Takeya MizugakiMetricReuben Duran
3.37
Strikes / min
3.19
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.46
TDs / 15 min
0.98
70%
Takedown defense
25%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.58
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)Reuben Duran(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Reuben Duran
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4