Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rodrigo Nascimento won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTanner Boser: StrikervsRodrigo Nascimento: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Rodrigo Nascimento wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Rodrigo Nascimento wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tanner Boser is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Rodrigo Nascimento has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Tanner Boser has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rodrigo Nascimento has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Tanner Boser
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Nascimento
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tanner Boser
oldest →latest
L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 20L
vs Ilir Latifi · Jun 21W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23W
vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jul 21W
vs Ilir Latifi · May 23W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tanner BoserMetricRodrigo Nascimento
4.82
Strikes / min
3.71
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
57%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.02
69%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.82Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tanner BoserRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tanner Boser(10 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.10.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
Tanner Boser
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8