Welterweight
3 Rounds
Tarec Saffiedine won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 30, 2016·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupTarec Saffiedine: Well-roundedvsJake Ellenberger: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tarec Saffiedine wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Tarec Saffiedine wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tarec Saffiedine enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tarec Saffiedine (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Tarec Saffiedine
Red Corner
VS
Jake Ellenberger
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
39
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tarec SaffiedineL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hyun Gyu Lim · Jan 14L
KOvs Rory MacDonald · Oct 14L
vs Rick Story · May 16L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 16L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 17Jake EllenbergerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Brown · Jul 16L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Dec 16L
KOvs Mike Perry · Apr 17L
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jun 18L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Aug 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tarec SaffiedineMetricJake Ellenberger
4.05
Strikes / min
2.47
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
2.04
84%
Takedown defense
86%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tarec SaffiedineJake Ellenberger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tarec Saffiedine(6 fights)Jake Ellenberger(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.429.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+281.0-281.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Tarec Saffiedine
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Jake Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights19