Welterweight
3 Rounds
Rick Story won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTarec Saffiedine: Well-roundedvsRick Story: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tarec Saffiedine wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Rick Story wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tarec Saffiedine has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tarec Saffiedine (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Tarec Saffiedine
Red Corner
VS
Rick Story
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
39
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tarec SaffiedineL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hyun Gyu Lim · Jan 14L
KOvs Rory MacDonald · Oct 14W
vs Jake Ellenberger · Jan 16L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Dec 16L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 17Rick Story
oldest →latest
W
vs Brian Ebersole · Nov 13L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tarec SaffiedineMetricRick Story
4.05
Strikes / min
3.80
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
62%
Strike defense
62%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
2.53
84%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+1.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tarec SaffiedineRick Story
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tarec Saffiedine(6 fights)Rick Story(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.536.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-483.0483.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Tarec Saffiedine
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16