Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joby Sanchez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tateki Matsuda wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Joby Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joby Sanchez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Joby Sanchez has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tateki Matsuda
Red Corner
VS
Joby Sanchez
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
40
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tateki Matsuda
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Beal · Sep 14Joby SanchezL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Wilson Reis · Aug 14L
KOvs Geane Herrera · Dec 15L
vs Roberto Sanchez · Feb 18L
vs Mark De La Rosa · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tateki MatsudaMetricJoby Sanchez
3.20
Strikes / min
3.22
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
69%
Strike defense
63%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.95
16%
Takedown defense
51%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tateki MatsudaJoby Sanchez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tateki Matsuda(2 fights)Joby Sanchez(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-13.013.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tateki Matsuda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Joby Sanchez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5