Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 13, 2025·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupTatiana Suarez: WrestlervsAmanda Lemos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tatiana Suarez wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tatiana Suarez threatens submissions; Amanda Lemos has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Tatiana Suarez
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Lemos
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
35
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatiana Suarez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Carla Esparza · Sep 18W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Jun 19W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25Amanda Lemos
oldest →latest
L
vs Zhang Weili · Aug 23W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatiana SuarezMetricAmanda Lemos
2.86
Strikes / min
2.75
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
44%
Strike defense
45%
4.52
TDs / 15 min
1.02
57%
Takedown defense
63%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tatiana SuarezAmanda Lemos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatiana Suarez(9 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Tatiana Suarez
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15