Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tatsuro Taira won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTatsuro Taira: WrestlervsCarlos Candelario: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Tatsuro Taira wins(65.2%)
Actual result: Tatsuro Taira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlos Candelario (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Tatsuro Taira
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Candelario
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
26
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatsuro TairaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Carlos Hernandez · Dec 23W
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 24L
vs Brandon Royval · Oct 24W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Aug 25W
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Dec 25Carlos Candelario
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jake Hadley · Nov 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatsuro TairaMetricCarlos Candelario
2.87
Strikes / min
3.97
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
5.17
44%
Strike defense
44%
3.57
TDs / 15 min
2.28
46%
Takedown defense
53%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tatsuro TairaCarlos Candelario
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatsuro Taira(9 fights)Carlos Candelario(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Tatsuro Taira
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Carlos Candelario
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights2