Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tatsuro Taira won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTatsuro Taira: WrestlervsCarlos Hernandez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tatsuro Taira wins(79.1%)
Actual result: Tatsuro Taira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Hernandez has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tatsuro Taira
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Hernandez
Blue Corner
-620
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
26
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatsuro TairaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edgar Chairez · Jul 23W
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 24L
vs Brandon Royval · Oct 24W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Aug 25W
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Dec 25Carlos Hernandez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23W
vs Denys Bondar · Jun 23L
vs Rei Tsuruya · Jun 24W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24L
SUBvs HyunSung Park · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatsuro TairaMetricCarlos Hernandez
2.87
Strikes / min
3.83
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
44%
Strike defense
50%
3.57
TDs / 15 min
1.56
46%
Takedown defense
65%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tatsuro TairaCarlos Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatsuro Taira(9 fights)Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.1-45.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Tatsuro Taira
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Carlos Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7