Featherweight
3 Rounds
Tatsuya Kawajiri won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 11, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTatsuya Kawajiri: WrestlervsJason Knight: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Tatsuya Kawajiri wins(74.9%)
Actual result: Tatsuya Kawajiri wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Knight enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Tatsuya Kawajiri has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Red Corner
VS
Jason Knight
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
48
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tatsuya KawajiriL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14L
vs Clay Guida · Apr 14W
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 15L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 16L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 16Jason KnightL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · May 18L
vs Jordan Rinaldi · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tatsuya KawajiriMetricJason Knight
2.04
Strikes / min
2.95
2.01
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
50%
Strike defense
51%
3.63
TDs / 15 min
1.31
63%
Takedown defense
47%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tatsuya KawajiriJason Knight
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)Jason Knight(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.7-18.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Tatsuya Kawajiri
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Jason Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9