Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Taylor Lapilus won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 28, 2024·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupTaylor Lapilus: Elusive strikervsVince Morales: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Taylor Lapilus wins(76.0%)
Actual result: Taylor Lapilus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Taylor Lapilus (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Taylor Lapilus
Red Corner
VS
Vince Morales
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
34
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Taylor Lapilus
oldest →latest
L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 15W
vs Leandro Issa · Sep 16W
vs Caolan Loughran · Sep 23L
vs Farid Basharat · Jan 24W
vs Cody Stamann · Jun 24Vince MoralesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 22L
vs Miles Johns · Nov 22L
vs Elijah Smith · Feb 25L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Taylor LapilusMetricVince Morales
4.59
Strikes / min
3.54
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
62%
Strike defense
54%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.71
77%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.98Δ 2.35 — meaningful gap-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Taylor LapilusVince Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Taylor Lapilus(8 fights)Vince Morales(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+68.4-68.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-567.0567.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Taylor Lapilus
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Vince Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11