Lightweight
3 Rounds
Don Madge won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 27, 2018·Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Don Madge wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Don Madge wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Don Madge is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Te Edwards has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Don Madge has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Don Madge has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Don Madge (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Te Edwards
Red Corner
VS
Don Madge
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Te Edwards
oldest →latest
L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Jan 19Don Madge
oldest →latest
W
vs Fares Ziam · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Te EdwardsMetricDon Madge
1.50
Strikes / min
2.08
4.15
Strikes absorbed / min
0.74
44%
Strike defense
67%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
2.22
44%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.65Δ 3.99 — meaningful gap+1.34
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Te Edwards(2 fights)Don Madge(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Te Edwards
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
Don Madge
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2