Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tecia Pennington won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 17, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupTecia Pennington: Well-roundedvsLuana Pinheiro: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Tecia Pennington wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Tecia Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Pinheiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Tecia Pennington
Red Corner
VS
Luana Pinheiro
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'2"
152.4 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tecia Pennington
oldest →latest
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · May 24W
vs Carla Esparza · Oct 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 25Luana PinheiroL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sam Hughes · Nov 21W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Apr 23L
KOvs Amanda Ribas · Nov 23L
SUBvs Angela Hill · May 24L
vs Gillian Robertson · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tecia PenningtonMetricLuana Pinheiro
4.73
Strikes / min
3.29
3.48
Strikes absorbed / min
4.06
61%
Strike defense
60%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
2.33
62%
Takedown defense
71%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.25Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Tecia PenningtonLuana Pinheiro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tecia Pennington(4 fights)Luana Pinheiro(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.1-10.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Tecia Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach60.0"
Fights4
Luana Pinheiro
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7